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1 result for "economic research"

1 result for “economic research”

Chart: soft (sentiment) data forecast recessions about as well as hard economic data one month ahead, per SF Fed Working Paper 2026-14. Source: Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco

Local Business

A New Fed Study Finds Sentiment Rivals Hard Data at Spotting Recessions

A recent Federal Reserve study indicates that consumer sentiment can effectively forecast recessions.

Dana TrappJuly 23, 2026/1 min read